|
Shawnee, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
|
NWS Forecast for Shawnee OK
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Shawnee OK
Issued by: National Weather Service Norman, OK |
| Updated: 5:06 am CDT Jul 9, 2025 |
|
Today
Sunny
|
Tonight
Mostly Clear
|
Thursday
Sunny
|
Thursday
Night
Partly Cloudy
|
Friday
Mostly Sunny
|
Friday
Night
Partly Cloudy
then Chance
T-storms
|
Saturday
Chance
T-storms
|
Saturday
Night
Chance
T-storms
|
Sunday
Chance
T-storms
|
| Hi 92 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 94 °F |
Lo 75 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 88 °F |
Lo 69 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
|
Today
|
Sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 99. Calm wind becoming south southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. |
Tonight
|
Mostly clear, with a low around 73. South wind around 6 mph. |
Thursday
|
Sunny, with a high near 94. Heat index values as high as 98. South wind 6 to 11 mph. |
Thursday Night
|
Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. South wind around 10 mph. |
Friday
|
Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. South southwest wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. |
Friday Night
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. |
Saturday
|
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 88. |
Saturday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. |
Sunday
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 89. |
Sunday Night
|
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Monday
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. |
Monday Night
|
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. |
Tuesday
|
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Shawnee OK.
|
Weather Forecast Discussion
589
FXUS64 KOUN 091102
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
602 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1228 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
- Isolated strong storms are possible Wednesday afternoon.
- Hot and humid conditions Thursday and Friday, with heat indices
near 105 degrees possible in some areas.
- A weekend cold front will bring our next best chance for
widespread storms and a noticeable cooldown.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
While widespread activity is not anticipated, a few high-resolution
CAMs (notably the ARW and NAM 3km) are starting to suggest the
potential for isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms developing
during the peak heating hours this afternoon. This activity could be
aided by any remnant outflow boundaries from Tuesday nights
convection. As far as location, moisture and some low level
convergence in western Oklahoma would make this the most likely area
to see storms.
For Wednesday night, most guidance shows diminishing convective
potential after sunset. However, the NAM 3km remains an outlier,
depicting another potential MCS diving south into the area
overnight. Confidence in this scenario is low, but not zero, and
will need to be monitored. For now, have maintained low-end PoPs
overnight, mainly across northern Oklahoma.
Day
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
The main story for the short term will be the building heat and
humidity. An upper-level ridge will strengthen over the region,
leading to widespread hot temperatures on Thursday. Highs are
expected to climb into the mid-to-upper 90s for most, with some
locations across western Oklahoma potentially reaching 100 degrees.
When combined with ample low-level moisture, this will result in
heat index values pushing 100 degrees across the board, with
readings near 105 degrees in southeast Oklahoma and parts of north-
central Oklahoma.
Models are starting to show better agreement about the potential for
an MCS diving toward northwest Oklahoma Thursday night, supported by
a strengthening low level jet. SPC has included us in a marginal
risk for this area.
Friday will remain hot and humid ahead of an approaching cold front.
Thunderstorm chances will increase late Friday into Friday night as
the front nears the area, though uncertainty remains on the exact
timing and coverage of storms.
Day
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
A lingering cold front will be the focus for showers and
thunderstorms on Saturday, though models diverge on its exact
position. Abundant cloud cover and cooler air behind the front will
lead to noticeably cooler temperatures across the region Saturday.
Forecast confidence decreases early next week as the upper-level
pattern becomes weak and ill-defined, making it challenging to time
any specific disturbances. Will maintain slight chance PoPs for
Monday and Tuesday pending better model agreement in subsequent
forecast cycles. Temperatures are expected to remain at or just
below seasonal normals.
Day
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 602 AM CDT Wed Jul 9 2025
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period. Areas
of low stratus continue to build slowly westward across eastern
Oklahoma early this morning, and may briefly impact KDUA/KPNC
through ~15 UTC. Otherwise, modest south-southeasterly surface
winds and scattered ceilings are expected through the day.
While both chance and coverage are forecast to be lower than
previous days, scattered convection cannot be discounted across
western and northern Oklahoma by this/Wednesday evening. Have
opted to leave all terminals free of this mention for now, though
trends will be monitored (particularly for KWWR/KPNC/KCSM).
Safe travels!
Ungar
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 93 72 95 75 / 10 10 0 0
Hobart OK 98 72 100 74 / 20 20 0 10
Wichita Falls TX 96 74 98 76 / 10 10 0 0
Gage OK 97 70 100 71 / 20 20 0 30
Ponca City OK 93 71 95 75 / 10 10 0 0
Durant OK 93 74 96 76 / 10 10 0 0
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...09
View a Different U.S. Forecast Discussion Location
(In alphabetical order by state)
|
|
|
|
